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Red79
249329.7
580245.6
166112.0
Blue130
330B44.7
519936.6
98022.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779405015020079130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#18
45.60.2
31.030.8
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
red by 0.9
330B
Unranked
44.78.6
44.736.1
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End3.9
Second
2493
#25
29.70.2
30.930.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
blue by 6.9
36.62.8
33.636.3
Auto11.0
Teleop14.7
End10.9
Third
1661
#28
12.00.2
15.014.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End0.1
blue by 10.2
980
#21
22.22.8
23.626.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned