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Red51
969627.0
450124.7
29442.5
Blue75
513633.4
330959.9
96840.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861270501502002503005175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#16
42.52.6
47.645.0
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End4.4
blue by 17.4
59.92.8
46.643.7
Auto10.9
Teleop41.9
End7.1
Second
9696
#15
27.015.7
27.011.4
Auto6.0
Teleop18.7
End2.2
blue by 13.5
968
#11
40.62.8
38.635.8
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
Third
4501
#24
24.72.6
26.223.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End3.4
blue by 8.7
5136
#10
33.43.5
32.428.9
Auto8.4
Teleop21.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed