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Red41
98022.2
432225.7
166112.0
Blue52
567820.9
932218.3
375917.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8444020601001201401604152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#23
25.72.3
32.930.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
red by 4.9
5678
#19
20.90.3
16.416.7
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End4.4
Second
980
#21
22.22.3
25.923.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End4.3
red by 3.9
9322
#17
18.32.3
18.316.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End1.4
Third
1661
#28
12.02.3
17.415.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End0.1
blue by 5.4
3759
#27
17.40.4
16.116.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed