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Qual 22016 Beach Blitz
Red79
347327.5
68732.1
512441.5
Blue112
427633.8
581035.1
69639.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210170809011012013079112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#3
41.51.3
40.5→39.3
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End4.8
red by 2.2
696
#5
39.30.9
33.3→34.2
Auto9.9
Teleop24.9
End4.5
Second
687
#9
32.11.3
27.7→26.5
Auto8.6
Teleop18.2
End5.3
blue by 3.0
5810
#6
35.10.9
30.3→31.2
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.7
Third
3473
#26
27.51.3
29.7→28.5
Auto5.7
Teleop20.0
End1.8
blue by 6.3
4276
#14
33.80.9
35.1→36.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed