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Red86
96840.6
432225.7
476330.0
Blue123
330B44.7
249329.7
519936.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810840608012014016018086123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#11
40.60.7
35.835.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.6
End5.8
blue by 4.2
330B
Unranked
44.72.2
36.138.3
Auto9.1
Teleop31.7
End3.9
Second
30.00.7
30.029.3
Auto9.9
Teleop15.9
End4.2
blue by 6.5
36.61.3
36.337.6
Auto11.0
Teleop14.7
End10.9
Third
4322
#23
25.70.7
30.629.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End4.6
blue by 3.9
2493
#25
29.71.3
30.732.1
Auto7.1
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed