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Red90
427633.8
450124.7
499924.1
Blue100
512441.5
580245.6
567820.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8690020406010012014016090100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#14
33.80.2
36.035.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End4.4
blue by 11.8
5802
#18
45.60.9
30.831.7
Auto14.4
Teleop27.5
End3.8
Second
4501
#24
24.70.2
23.623.4
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End3.4
blue by 16.8
41.50.9
39.340.2
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End4.8
Third
4999
#22
24.10.2
24.223.9
Auto2.9
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 3.3
5678
#19
20.90.9
16.717.6
Auto2.6
Teleop13.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed