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Qual 72016 Beach Blitz
Red141
461928.5
68732.1
33066.3
Blue69
347650.1
969627.0
347327.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239005010015020014169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
66.31.4
63.0→64.5
Auto14.8
Teleop43.2
End8.4
red by 16.3
3476
#20
50.11.5
52.0→50.4
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End6.4
Second
687
#9
32.11.4
26.5→27.9
Auto8.6
Teleop18.2
End5.3
red by 4.6
3473
#26
27.51.5
28.5→26.9
Auto5.7
Teleop20.0
End1.8
Third
4619
#13
28.51.4
25.2→26.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.8
End3.9
red by 1.5
9696
#15
27.02.5
11.4→8.8
Auto6.0
Teleop18.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed