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Red170
97337.3
2073B34.2
549922.9
Blue149
973B30.9
167144.5
70124.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103129050150200250170149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#12
37.30.8
35.836.6
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End7.2
blue by 7.1
44.50.1
44.644.5
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End6.5
Second
34.20.9
32.533.3
Auto7.4
Teleop21.1
End5.6
red by 3.3
973B
#10
30.90.1
31.130.9
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Third
5499
#25
22.90.8
21.422.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.7
End3.8
blue by 1.4
701
#36
24.30.1
24.424.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.1
End3.0