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Semifinal 2-22016 Capital City Classic
Red208
2122B52.9
212265.7
617430.7
Blue155
1323B45.7
385943.7
166225.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19813050100150250300208155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
65.70.2
64.5→64.7
Auto15.9
Teleop36.6
End13.1
red by 20.0
1323B
#11
45.70.2
46.0→46.2
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End3.0
Second
2122B
#5
52.90.2
51.6→51.8
Auto17.5
Teleop29.1
End6.3
red by 9.1
3859
#4
43.70.2
44.0→44.2
Auto9.1
Teleop31.4
End3.2
Third
6174
#15
30.70.2
29.6→29.7
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
red by 4.9
1662
#17
25.70.2
26.0→26.2
Auto10.1
Teleop10.6
End5.1