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Red61
97337.3
208517.9
594028.8
Blue57
359827.1
603918.9
166225.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87700501502002503006157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#12
37.31.4
37.936.5
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End7.2
red by 10.2
3598
#30
27.10.9
24.123.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
5940
#16
28.81.4
24.122.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End2.7
red by 3.1
1662
#17
25.70.9
26.825.8
Auto10.1
Teleop10.6
End5.1
Third
2085
#27
17.91.4
20.318.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.5
End2.6
blue by 1.0
6039
#26
18.90.9
20.019.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed