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Red72
128024.0
617430.7
70124.3
Blue165
29921.8
325061.1
212265.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55147010020025072165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6174
#15
30.70.4
24.024.4
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
blue by 35.0
65.72.4
57.459.8
Auto15.9
Teleop36.6
End13.1
Second
701
#36
24.30.4
20.721.0
Auto4.1
Teleop17.1
End3.0
blue by 36.9
61.12.4
55.557.9
Auto16.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Third
1280
#29
24.00.4
22.022.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End4.5
red by 2.1
299
#32
21.84.0
16.420.4
Auto9.7
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsEarned