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Red79
318919.2
425517.7
469827.1
Blue117
973B30.9
545817.5
167872.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53118010015020025079117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#14
27.11.2
26.828.0
Auto8.9
Teleop14.8
End3.4
blue by 44.9
72.00.8
68.669.4
Auto17.2
Teleop48.2
End6.7
Second
3189
#24
19.21.2
20.221.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End2.6
blue by 11.7
973B
#10
30.91.3
20.221.6
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Third
4255
#33
17.71.2
13.915.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End2.4
red by 0.1
5458
#31
17.50.8
16.217.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed30%Capture oddsMissed