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Red160
585227.2
1323B45.7
325061.1
Blue85
70124.3
567720.4
167144.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1327505010015020016085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.12.3
59.061.4
Auto16.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
red by 16.7
44.50.1
41.241.1
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End6.5
Second
45.73.6
35.739.3
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End3.0
red by 21.4
701
#36
24.30.1
20.720.6
Auto4.1
Teleop17.1
End3.0
Third
5852
#13
27.22.3
25.527.8
Auto2.9
Teleop20.5
End3.7
red by 6.8
5677
#37
20.40.1
19.219.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned21%Capture oddsMissed