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Red112
318919.2
212265.7
8B23.9
Blue77
594028.8
464315.5
549626.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10254015020011277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.71.3
60.762.0
Auto15.9
Teleop36.6
End13.1
red by 36.8
5940
#16
28.81.2
24.825.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.1
End2.7
Second
8B
#8
23.92.0
13.815.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.8
End2.0
blue by 2.6
26.51.2
22.723.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.1
End5.0
Third
3189
#24
19.21.3
18.019.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End2.6
red by 3.7
4643
#35
15.51.2
12.113.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed