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Red76
325061.1
603918.9
425517.7
Blue125
167872.0
166225.7
29921.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312505015020076125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.11.8
62.160.3
Auto16.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
blue by 10.9
72.00.4
72.372.7
Auto17.2
Teleop48.2
End6.7
Second
6039
#26
18.91.8
21.619.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End3.8
blue by 6.8
1662
#17
25.70.4
25.025.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.6
End5.1
Third
4255
#33
17.71.8
19.517.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End2.4
blue by 4.2
299
#32
21.80.5
21.121.6
Auto9.7
Teleop10.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed