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Red140
97337.3
167144.5
29528.6
Blue105
617430.7
359827.1
2122B52.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031086080120140160140105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.52.3
42.044.3
Auto10.0
Teleop27.9
End6.5
blue by 8.4
52.90.0
49.649.7
Auto17.5
Teleop29.1
End6.3
Second
973
#12
37.32.3
32.334.6
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End7.2
red by 6.7
6174
#15
30.70.0
27.827.8
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End2.8
Third
295
#19
28.62.3
26.328.6
Auto9.6
Teleop14.4
End4.6
red by 1.5
3598
#30
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsMissed