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Final 12016 CalGames
Red109
304525.5
186825.9
196727.3
Blue166
490433.9
64935.1
510421.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89113406080100140160180200109166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#15
27.30.3
26.8→27.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
blue by 7.8
649
#2
35.10.6
35.2→35.7
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
Second
1868
#6
25.90.3
25.4→25.6
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 8.0
4904
#5
33.90.6
34.0→34.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Third
3045
#23
25.50.3
25.0→25.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9
red by 3.7
5104
#22
21.90.6
22.0→22.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1