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Red105
304525.5
186825.9
196727.3
Blue72
490433.9
64935.1
510421.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891155010015020010572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#15
27.30.2
27.027.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
blue by 7.8
649
#2
35.10.5
35.735.3
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
Second
25.90.2
25.625.8
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 8.0
33.90.5
34.634.1
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Third
3045
#23
25.50.2
25.325.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9
red by 3.7
5104
#22
21.90.5
22.522.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1