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Red103
304525.5
186825.9
196727.3
Blue102
490433.9
64935.1
510421.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011350100150200103102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#15
27.30.1
27.227.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
blue by 7.8
649
#2
35.10.2
35.335.1
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
Second
25.90.1
25.825.9
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 8.0
33.90.2
34.133.9
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Third
3045
#23
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9
red by 3.7
5104
#22
21.90.2
22.121.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1