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Quarterfinal 1-12016 CalGames
Red87
84634.7
476521.8
350110.7
Blue75
25318.4
590522.9
67026.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9480501508775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#10
34.70.3
37.1→36.8
Auto8.7
Teleop21.0
End5.1
red by 8.6
670
#18
26.10.1
26.0→26.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.8
Second
4765
#1
21.80.3
24.1→23.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 1.1
5905
#13
22.90.1
22.8→22.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Third
3501
#31
10.70.3
13.1→12.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 7.7
253
#14
18.40.1
18.3→18.3
Auto8.0
Teleop6.9
End3.4