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Semifinal 1-12016 CalGames
Red119
84634.7
476521.8
350110.7
Blue103
304525.5
186825.9
196727.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889520406080120140160119103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#10
34.70.6
36.136.8
Auto8.7
Teleop21.0
End5.1
red by 7.4
1967
#15
27.30.1
27.227.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
Second
21.80.6
23.223.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End2.2
blue by 4.1
25.90.1
25.825.9
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Third
3501
#31
10.70.6
12.112.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 14.8
3045
#23
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9