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Quarterfinal 2-22016 CalGames
Red78
304525.5
186825.9
196727.3
Blue71
203531.0
247324.5
128026.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93102501502007871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#15
27.30.1
27.3→27.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
blue by 3.7
2035
#11
31.00.3
31.2→31.0
Auto9.3
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Second
1868
#6
25.90.1
25.9→25.8
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
blue by 0.8
1280
#16
26.70.3
27.0→26.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End5.8
Third
3045
#23
25.50.1
25.6→25.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9
red by 1.0
2473
#7
24.50.3
24.8→24.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End6.8