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Semifinal 2-22016 CalGames
Red163
490433.9
64935.1
510421.9
Blue61
66826.1
418625.6
502717.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137505010015020016361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
35.10.5
34.7→35.2
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 9.0
668
#4
26.10.2
26.3→26.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End4.0
Second
4904
#5
33.90.5
33.5→34.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
red by 8.3
4186
#3
25.60.2
25.8→25.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Third
5104
#22
21.90.5
21.5→22.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1
red by 4.3
5027
#30
17.50.2
17.7→17.5
Auto8.3
Teleop6.9
End2.3