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Quarterfinal 3-12016 CalGames
Red120
490433.9
64935.1
510421.9
Blue100
11522.2
499020.8
135126.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11274050100150200120100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
35.10.1
34.2→34.1
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 8.8
1351
#21
26.30.2
25.8→26.0
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End3.9
Second
4904
#5
33.90.1
33.0→33.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
red by 11.8
115
#17
22.20.2
21.7→21.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Third
5104
#22
21.90.1
21.0→20.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1
red by 1.1
4990
#12
20.80.2
20.3→20.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5