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Quarterfinal 3-22016 CalGames
Red140
490433.9
64935.1
510421.9
Blue101
11522.2
499020.8
135126.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11175050100150200140101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
35.10.0
34.1→34.2
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 8.8
1351
#21
26.30.3
26.0→26.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End3.9
Second
4904
#5
33.90.0
33.0→33.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
red by 11.8
115
#17
22.20.3
21.9→22.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Third
5104
#22
21.90.0
20.9→21.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1
red by 1.1
4990
#12
20.80.3
20.5→20.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5