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Qual 112016 CalGames
Red65
203531.0
517121.0
502614.9
Blue35
543013.2
590522.9
502717.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60603040507080906535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2035
#11
31.00.5
28.0→28.5
Auto9.3
Teleop17.0
End4.7
red by 8.1
5905
#13
22.92.0
23.6→21.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Second
5171
#20
21.00.7
16.9→17.6
Auto6.3
Teleop12.3
End2.3
red by 3.4
5027
#30
17.52.2
18.1→15.9
Auto8.3
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Third
5026
#28
14.90.5
12.5→13.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.7
End0.8
red by 1.7
5430
#34
13.21.6
17.5→15.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed