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Qual 122016 CalGames
Red57
824.6
476521.8
490433.9
Blue53
415922.1
264312.7
304525.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83692040601001201405753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#5
33.91.4
31.8→30.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
red by 8.4
3045
#23
25.51.3
25.7→24.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9
Second
8
#9
24.61.4
25.1→23.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End5.1
red by 2.5
4159
#29
22.11.1
24.9→23.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End4.6
Third
4765
#1
21.81.9
21.6→19.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 9.0
2643
#36
12.71.1
18.6→17.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed