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Qual 262016 CalGames
Red70
196727.3
84634.7
603623.7
Blue89
418625.6
476521.8
499020.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95580501507089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#10
34.71.5
36.2→34.7
Auto8.7
Teleop21.0
End5.1
red by 9.1
4186
#3
25.61.5
23.7→25.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Second
1967
#15
27.31.5
28.4→27.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
red by 5.5
4765
#1
21.81.5
20.9→22.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Third
6036
#25
23.71.5
22.7→21.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End3.8
red by 2.9
4990
#12
20.81.5
17.3→18.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsMissed43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed