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Red74
590522.9
64935.1
170018.2
Blue77
425515.7
304525.5
490433.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7171506080901007477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
35.10.4
29.429.8
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 1.1
33.90.6
32.732.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Second
5905
#13
22.90.4
21.521.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 2.6
3045
#23
25.50.6
23.823.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.1
End4.9
Third
1700
#26
18.20.4
17.017.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 2.6
4255
#33
15.70.6
14.013.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed