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Red85
67026.1
247324.5
186825.9
Blue45
135126.3
543013.2
264312.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70592040801001208545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#18
26.10.9
24.325.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.8
blue by 0.2
1351
#21
26.30.9
26.225.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End3.9
Second
25.90.9
23.123.9
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 12.7
5430
#34
13.20.9
15.514.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
24.50.9
19.520.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End6.8
red by 11.8
2643
#36
12.70.9
17.316.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed