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Red59
128026.7
25318.4
285421.0
Blue97
502717.5
66826.1
203531.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64690501001502005997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#16
26.70.6
24.724.1
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End5.8
blue by 4.3
2035
#11
31.01.1
27.628.6
Auto9.3
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Second
2854
#19
21.00.6
19.018.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 5.1
668
#4
26.11.1
22.523.6
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End4.0
Third
253
#14
18.40.6
19.518.9
Auto8.0
Teleop6.9
End3.4
red by 0.9
5027
#30
17.51.1
16.017.1
Auto8.3
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed