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Qual 312016 CalGames
Red60
418625.6
543013.2
196727.3
Blue115
64935.1
186825.9
824.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66810204010012014016060115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#15
27.30.4
27.0→26.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
blue by 7.8
649
#2
35.11.2
29.8→31.0
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
Second
4186
#3
25.60.4
25.2→24.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
blue by 0.3
1868
#6
25.91.2
23.9→25.2
Auto10.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
Third
5430
#34
13.20.4
14.6→14.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 11.4
8
#9
24.61.2
23.0→24.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed