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Qual 322016 CalGames
Red80
248918.6
84634.7
11522.2
Blue81
499020.8
517121.0
490433.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76720501001502002508081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#10
34.70.5
34.7→35.1
Auto8.7
Teleop21.0
End5.1
red by 0.8
4904
#5
33.90.4
32.2→32.6
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End4.7
Second
115
#17
22.20.5
20.0→20.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End2.7
red by 1.2
5171
#20
21.00.4
19.3→19.7
Auto6.3
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
2489
#32
18.60.5
18.5→19.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 2.2
4990
#12
20.80.4
18.8→19.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed