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Red67
66826.1
128026.7
543013.2
Blue49
248918.6
415922.1
170018.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68622040801001201406749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
#16
26.70.1
26.927.0
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End5.8
red by 4.7
4159
#29
22.10.8
22.922.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End4.6
Second
668
#4
26.10.1
25.625.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End4.0
red by 7.5
2489
#32
18.60.8
19.418.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
5430
#34
13.20.1
13.113.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 5.0
1700
#26
18.20.8
19.018.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed