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Qual 452016 CalGames
Red67
590522.9
11522.2
135126.3
Blue60
502717.5
418625.6
255117.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7659020401001201401606760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#21
26.30.3
26.1→25.8
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End3.9
red by 0.6
4186
#3
25.60.0
25.2→25.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
Second
5905
#13
22.90.3
23.1→22.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
red by 5.4
2551
#27
17.50.0
17.5→17.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Third
115
#17
22.20.3
22.0→21.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End2.7
red by 4.6
5027
#30
17.50.0
17.1→17.1
Auto8.3
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed