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Qual 462016 CalGames
Red104
425515.7
84634.7
64935.1
Blue23
25318.4
264312.7
10017.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915002040608010012014016010423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#2
35.11.4
32.8→34.2
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
red by 16.7
253
#14
18.42.1
20.4→18.3
Auto8.0
Teleop6.9
End3.4
Second
846
#10
34.71.4
35.7→37.1
Auto8.7
Teleop21.0
End5.1
red by 17.5
100
#35
17.22.1
19.3→17.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End3.8
Third
4255
#33
15.71.4
14.2→15.7
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 2.9
2643
#36
12.72.1
14.8→12.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed