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Qual 72016 CalGames
Red102
75123.6
66826.1
418625.6
Blue37
350110.7
425515.7
247324.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694802040608010012014010237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#4
26.11.9
20.3→22.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.1
End4.0
red by 1.6
2473
#7
24.51.1
19.1→18.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End6.8
Second
4186
#3
25.61.9
20.9→22.8
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End4.4
red by 10.0
4255
#33
15.70.8
17.4→16.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Third
751
#8
23.61.9
22.6→24.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End3.8
red by 12.9
3501
#31
10.70.8
12.8→12.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed