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Qual 82016 CalGames
Red69
510421.9
135126.3
84634.7
Blue72
64935.1
128026.7
248918.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86770501001502002506972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#10
34.70.9
33.8→33.0
Auto8.7
Teleop21.0
End5.1
blue by 0.3
649
#2
35.10.6
28.6→28.0
Auto8.5
Teleop22.2
End4.3
Second
1351
#21
26.30.9
27.5→26.6
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End3.9
blue by 0.5
1280
#16
26.70.6
26.3→25.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End5.8
Third
5104
#22
21.90.9
20.7→19.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.1
red by 3.3
2489
#32
18.60.6
21.0→20.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed