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Red65
25318.4
196727.3
170018.2
Blue57
603623.7
417116.9
11522.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64632040801006557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#15
27.30.2
27.527.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.5
End7.9
red by 3.6
6036
#25
23.70.8
21.821.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End3.8
Second
253
#14
18.40.3
16.416.7
Auto8.0
Teleop6.9
End3.4
blue by 3.8
115
#17
22.20.6
20.219.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Third
1700
#26
18.20.2
17.718.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 1.3
4171
#24
16.90.6
19.018.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed