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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Sacramento Regional
Red80
325038.0
490427.9
513417.7
Blue156
70131.5
366927.5
592425.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106106809010011012013014015080156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#7
38.00.4
38.7→38.3
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End6.4
red by 6.5
701
#17
31.50.3
32.1→32.4
Auto8.6
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Second
4904
#5
27.90.5
29.0→28.4
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End3.5
red by 0.4
3669
#6
27.50.3
28.1→28.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.2
End5.2
Third
5134
#13
17.70.4
18.4→18.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 7.3
5924
#43
25.00.5
25.9→26.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6