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Semifinal 2-12016 Sacramento Regional
Red144
167134.5
132339.9
60422.9
Blue120
207332.0
105631.0
214125.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119105050150200250144120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
39.90.1
39.6→39.7
Auto9.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 7.9
2073
#21
32.00.2
31.5→31.7
Auto3.7
Teleop24.3
End4.0
Second
1671
#15
34.50.1
34.2→34.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
red by 3.5
1056
#9
31.00.3
30.3→30.5
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End9.0
Third
604
#26
22.90.1
22.5→22.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 3.0
2141
#44
25.90.3
25.1→25.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End5.2