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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Sacramento Regional
Red89
325038.0
490427.9
513417.7
Blue164
70131.5
366927.5
592425.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031085015020089164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#7
38.00.4
38.3→38.0
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End6.4
red by 6.5
701
#17
31.50.6
32.3→32.9
Auto8.6
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Second
4904
#5
27.90.5
28.4→27.9
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End3.5
red by 0.4
3669
#6
27.50.6
28.3→28.9
Auto10.2
Teleop12.2
End5.2
Third
5134
#13
17.70.4
18.0→17.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.2
blue by 7.3
5924
#43
25.00.9
26.2→27.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6