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Semifinal 2-22016 Sacramento Regional
Red155
167134.5
132339.9
60422.9
Blue127
207332.0
105631.0
214125.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119106050150200250155127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
39.90.2
39.7→39.9
Auto9.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 7.9
2073
#21
32.00.3
31.7→32.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.3
End4.0
Second
1671
#15
34.50.2
34.2→34.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
red by 3.5
1056
#9
31.00.5
30.5→31.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End9.0
Third
604
#26
22.90.3
22.6→22.8
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End4.5
blue by 3.0
2141
#44
25.90.5
25.4→25.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End5.2