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Qual 192016 Sacramento Regional
Red107
285419.2
207332.0
325038.0
Blue101
592425.0
497317.3
70131.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80622040100120140107101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#7
38.02.0
36.6→38.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.5
End6.4
red by 6.5
701
#17
31.52.5
31.1→33.6
Auto8.6
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Second
2073
#21
32.02.0
23.8→25.8
Auto3.7
Teleop24.3
End4.0
red by 7.0
5924
#43
25.03.7
17.7→21.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
Third
2854
#32
19.23.0
14.3→17.3
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 1.9
4973
#45
17.32.7
13.9→16.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed