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Qual 202016 Sacramento Regional
Red82
586914.7
132339.9
413523.3
Blue67
167854.5
29524.9
135122.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761072040601201401608267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
39.90.8
37.8→37.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
blue by 14.6
1678
#4
54.52.6
53.0→50.4
Auto15.6
Teleop32.5
End6.4
Second
4135
#31
23.30.8
26.7→25.8
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End3.6
blue by 1.6
295
#11
24.93.6
24.2→20.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End4.0
Third
5869
#39
14.71.3
14.0→12.7
Auto0.4
Teleop11.7
End2.6
blue by 8.1
1351
#20
22.83.6
21.8→18.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed