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Red64
580815.0
220423.1
592425.0
Blue91
167134.5
135122.8
236718.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52680204060801001201406491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5924
#43
25.00.6
21.422.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
blue by 9.4
1671
#15
34.51.8
31.032.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Second
2204
#50
23.10.6
17.618.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.1
red by 0.3
1351
#20
22.83.0
18.221.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Third
5808
#23
15.00.6
14.114.8
Auto2.8
Teleop11.2
End1.0
blue by 3.5
2367
#41
18.53.0
14.517.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed