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Qual 262016 Sacramento Regional
Red77
545823.3
132339.9
208519.2
Blue37
464311.4
84118.5
497317.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024002060801201401607737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
39.91.2
37.0→35.8
Auto9.3
Teleop25.7
End4.9
red by 21.4
841
#46
18.51.3
20.7→19.4
Auto2.8
Teleop15.0
End0.7
Second
5458
#22
23.31.2
23.3→22.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End2.6
red by 6.0
4973
#45
17.30.8
16.6→15.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Third
2085
#12
19.22.0
29.6→27.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 7.7
4643
#60
11.41.3
11.2→9.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed