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Red63
550721.6
214125.9
586914.7
Blue79
207332.0
128022.8
359826.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557720401001201406379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2141
#44
25.90.7
20.921.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.8
End5.2
blue by 6.2
2073
#21
32.00.1
28.028.2
Auto3.7
Teleop24.3
End4.0
Second
5507
#18
21.60.7
19.920.6
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End3.8
blue by 4.5
3598
#51
26.10.1
25.625.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Third
5869
#39
14.70.7
15.816.5
Auto0.4
Teleop11.7
End2.6
blue by 8.1
1280
#38
22.80.2
18.218.4
Auto1.8
Teleop17.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed