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Red44
525015.1
236718.5
549620.9
Blue71
29524.9
210229.2
208519.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578220401001201404471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5496
#53
20.91.0
21.720.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End3.5
blue by 8.3
2102
#14
29.20.3
30.330.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.5
End4.1
Second
2367
#41
18.51.7
19.517.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 6.4
295
#11
24.90.5
22.021.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.0
End4.0
Third
5250
#40
15.11.7
17.716.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 4.0
2085
#12
19.20.5
23.523.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed