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Qual 632016 Sacramento Regional
Red68
236718.5
454330.7
325718.2
Blue60
497317.3
85221.0
359826.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7066204060801006860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4543
#8
30.70.0
31.9→31.9
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End4.1
red by 4.5
3598
#51
26.10.7
26.4→25.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Second
2367
#41
18.50.1
17.7→17.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
blue by 2.5
852
#42
21.01.1
20.7→19.6
Auto3.4
Teleop14.9
End2.7
Third
3257
#25
18.20.1
17.8→17.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.3
End3.6
red by 0.9
4973
#45
17.30.7
17.7→17.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed